{"id":75996,"date":"2025-03-26T12:21:45","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T09:21:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/?p=75996"},"modified":"2025-11-25T23:01:33","modified_gmt":"2025-11-25T23:01:33","slug":"%d8%aa%d9%88%d9%82%d8%b9%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a8%d8%aa%d8%b9%d8%a7%d9%81-%d9%82%d8%b7%d8%a7%d8%b9-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d9%82%d8%a7%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b5%d9%8a%d9%86-%d8%ae%d9%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/75996\/","title":{"rendered":"China's real estate sector is expected to recover next year"},"content":{"rendered":"

It seems that China's real estate market<\/a><\/strong>which has been facing a protracted crisis for years, is gradually improving, according to UBS analysis. Analysts expect the sector to reach a state of stabilization by 2026, earlier than previously expected, suggesting that the crisis could end sooner than expected.<\/p>\n

Positive signs of recovery<\/span><\/h4>\n

John Lam, head of real estate research at UBS Investment Bank, revealed encouraging signs after a period of steep decline, most notably that real estate sales in major cities rose by more than 30% on a weekly basis compared to last year. Wind Information's data also showed a gradual improvement in the market, boosting hopes for a recovery in the sector.<\/p>\n

Factors that support market stability
\nAccording to the bank, four key factors may contribute to the stabilization of Chinese real estate: Declining real estate supply reducing downward pressure on prices, rising land price premium as an indicator of returning investor confidence, increasing secondary transactions that are expected to account for half of total real estate transactions by 2026, and improving rental prices, which have been on the rise since February 2025.<\/p>\n

Government moves to stop the deterioration<\/span><\/h4>\n

Last September, the Chinese government emphasized the need to halt the decline in Real estate sector<\/a><\/strong>which makes up a significant portion of household wealth and used to contribute more than 25% of GDP. But despite government efforts, major real estate developers, such as Evergrande, continue to face financial difficulties, with real estate sales dropping by about half since 2021.<\/p>\n

A crisis that started in 2020. And late solutions<\/span><\/h4>\n

The crisis began when the authorities imposed strict restrictions on real estate borrowing in late 2020, leading to a lack of liquidity for developers and stalled housing projects. Despite government stimulus packages, the sector has yet to make a clear recovery, but it may gradually move towards stabilization during the second half of 2025.<\/p>\n

Mixed analysis on the future of the market<\/span><\/h4>\n

While Standard & Poor's asserts that the market could stabilize by mid-2025, Macquarie analysts point out that a recovery in the sector would require direct financial support from the central bank. Michelle Cook, head of real estate at HSBC, sees ten indicators that the market has bottomed out, including rising demand for new homes and increased foreign investment participation.<\/p>\n

Challenges persist despite optimism<\/span><\/h4>\n

Despite these positive indicators, government data still reflects significant challenges, with real estate investment falling by 10% in the first two months of 2025, while the rate of new home construction fell by 29.6% compared to the previous year.<\/p>\n

Chinese real estate seems to be slowly stabilizing, but markets are still waiting for greater government support to restore full confidence. While some expect the crisis to be over by 2026, the road to recovery is still fraught with challenges.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Reading time: <\/span> 2<\/span> Minutes<\/span><\/span>China's real estate market, which has been facing a years-long crisis, appears to be gradually improving, according to UBS analysis. Analysts expect the sector to reach a state of stabilization by 2026, earlier than previously expected, suggesting the crisis could end sooner than expected. Positive signs of recovery... Read more<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":56127,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"0","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate-finance"],"acf":{"amlak_post_excerpt":"\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u064a\u0648 \u0628\u064a \u0625\u0633 \u064a\u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0651\u0646 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 2026 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629.","amlak_post_excerpt_source":{"label":"Amlak post excerpt","type":"text","formatted_value":"\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u064a\u0648 \u0628\u064a \u0625\u0633 \u064a\u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0651\u0646 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0628\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 2026 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629."}},"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",1200,799,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-768x511.jpg",768,511,true],"large":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-1024x682.jpg",1024,682,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",1200,799,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",1200,799,false],"trp-custom-language-flag":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",18,12,false],"event-thumbnail":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-300x200.jpg",300,200,true],"event-medium":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1-600x400.jpg",600,400,true],"event-large":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",1200,799,false],"event-hero":["https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646-1.jpg",1200,799,false]},"author_info":{"info":["\u0623\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629"]},"category_info":"\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a<\/a>","tag_info":"\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a","comment_count":"0","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75996","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75996"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75996\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75996"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75996"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/amlak.net.sa\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75996"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}