All planners work under the theory of uncertainty, that is, that margin of the plan that is not certain to happen or to be implemented, that part that may not see the light of day, planners may not know exactly which part of the plan or its percentage, but there is inevitably a percentage or part of a phase that will not be implemented in some plans.
All planners work under the theory of uncertainty.
An important challenge is the length of the time period, which can be punctuated by events that may occur without being accounted for and disrupt the workflow, especially if the plans are long-term, such as ten-year plans that are implemented over ten years, and so on.
This is why economic feasibility studies cannot tell the project owner about his profits or the feasibility of the project with 100% certainty, but they are just indicators that approach reality and do not match it in any way, and how many studies went in one direction and the results were the opposite of what was expected.
How many studies went in one direction and the results were the opposite of what was expected.
Sometimes external events occur suddenly that destroy all plans, Japan, for example, had ambitious plans, but fighting World War II not only caused material loss and harm, but also destroyed its dreams and its future for years, as it lost more than 220,000 people due to the fall of the two nuclear bombs, and its development plans evaporated and took years and years to rebuild its economy again.
Japan had ambitious plans, but fighting World War II did not only cause material loss and harm, but also destroyed its dreams and its future for years.
Kuwait was not far behind, after the sudden invasion and the invader's destruction of its oil wells, it pumped billions to regain its ability to reach an adequate level of well-being for its people.
Kuwait was not far behind.
At the personal level, we are busy making plans and calculations for the future, and only God knows the future, we are not required to waste our lives in plans and planning, the important thing is to learn how to navigate the ship of our lives safely, bearing in mind that we must beware of the future, if strategic planners set their eyes on the theory of uncertainty, we as individuals must set our eyes on our limited capabilities, and sudden time events that sometimes destroy everything in their path.
We must plan, but without exaggeration or unrealizable dreams
We must plan, but without exaggeration or unrealizable dreams.
The poet was right when he said:
Let the fates run their course ***and do not sleep without a clear mind
Let the fates run their course ***and do not sleep without a clear mind
Between the blink of an eye and the waking moment, God changes from one state to another
Between the blink of an eye
